The impacts of falling oil prices is having a wide ranging effect in
the UK – from the lower cost of filling up the car to people’s
livelihoods being under threat. It is inevitable companies seek to adapt
to rapidly changing circumstances and the decisions they are being
forced to make are tough ones. It’s actually a stress test of leadership
and senior management. Part of that test is whether company decision
makers have all the relevant information to make informed decisions. How
can they?
At the very least, they have to make assumptions about
what the future will look like. In this case, how long oil prices will
stay at these levels? What decisions are competitor companies and
industries taking? After all, they need to be making the right decisions
for the company in the short term and for the mid to long term.
We’ve
been here before, of course, in the 1990s when oil prices dropped and
assumptions were made about the long term life of North Sea assets that
proved to be wide of the mark. So this is a time when corporate memory
really counts.
On that occasion, the assumption was made that
North Sea production would be wound down in the medium term and assets
could afford to be neglected because they would soon be out of service.
As prices rose again, the assets were called upon to continue to produce
and many are now operating well beyond their original life expectancy.
Doing that has required huge effort by the North Sea Oil and Gas
industry to bring those neglected assets back up to the required
standard. Those who have led this effort to improve asset integrity
deserve to be praised, but their voices need to continue to be heard as
we go through this next difficult phase for the industry.
Cutting
costs where there seems to be least tangible day-to-day effect is
obviously tempting but leaders and senior managers need to pass the
stress test on knowing where health and safety – and particularly
process safety and asset integrity - sits in this mix.
Asset
integrity must not suffer from short term expediency over where the axe
falls. Leadership is critical to avoid wrong assumptions being made
about the lifespan of assets, assumptions we know from previous
experience can take years to reverse. Current news headlines may be
disconcerting, but I want all industries dealing with process safety to
avoid inadvertently writing tomorrow’s headlines today.
Safety must not be compromised, even in tough times.
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